Pre-tourney Rankings
North Dakota
Big Sky
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#200
Expected Predictive Rating-4.7#234
Pace76.8#54
Improvement+3.7#39

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#259
First Shot-1.8#234
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#289
Layup/Dunks+0.8#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#292
Freethrows-0.5#208
Improvement+3.2#40

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#147
First Shot+1.2#139
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#203
Layups/Dunks+0.5#156
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
Freethrows+1.3#84
Improvement+0.5#152
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2015 33   @ Wisconsin L 64-78 6%     0 - 1 +0.8 +0.5 +0.2
  Nov 21, 2015 246   Bowling Green W 77-59 59%     1 - 1 +13.2 -6.5 +17.6
  Nov 22, 2015 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 60-73 36%     1 - 2 -11.6 -12.1 +0.3
  Nov 23, 2015 289   Youngstown St. L 69-79 71%     1 - 3 -18.3 -13.5 -4.3
  Nov 28, 2015 80   Northern Iowa L 51-97 27%     1 - 4 -41.9 -19.7 -21.4
  Dec 05, 2015 314   @ Bradley W 65-59 2OT 68%     2 - 4 -1.3 -14.6 +12.3
  Dec 11, 2015 158   North Dakota St. L 67-69 50%     2 - 5 -4.5 -5.1 +0.7
  Dec 22, 2015 49   @ Kansas St. L 49-63 8%     2 - 6 -0.7 -12.6 +10.9
  Dec 31, 2015 217   Idaho L 71-74 65%     2 - 7 0 - 1 -9.3 -7.8 -1.4
  Jan 02, 2016 205   Eastern Washington W 79-71 63%     3 - 7 1 - 1 +2.2 -5.1 +7.0
  Jan 07, 2016 146   @ Weber St. L 62-74 27%     3 - 8 1 - 2 -8.1 -9.0 +1.2
  Jan 09, 2016 276   @ Idaho St. W 84-76 58%     4 - 8 2 - 2 +3.5 +0.1 +2.5
  Jan 14, 2016 252   Montana St. W 85-68 72%     5 - 8 3 - 2 +8.6 +1.7 +6.3
  Jan 16, 2016 153   Montana L 61-65 49%     5 - 9 3 - 3 -6.1 -9.6 +3.2
  Jan 21, 2016 345   @ Northern Arizona W 101-59 82%     6 - 9 4 - 3 +30.0 +18.4 +9.8
  Jan 23, 2016 342   @ Southern Utah W 88-72 80%     7 - 9 5 - 3 +4.5 -4.5 +6.9
  Jan 30, 2016 310   @ Northern Colorado L 70-71 67%     7 - 10 5 - 4 -8.1 -11.2 +3.2
  Feb 04, 2016 276   Idaho St. W 76-60 77%     8 - 10 6 - 4 +5.7 -5.2 +10.1
  Feb 06, 2016 146   Weber St. W 78-71 48%     9 - 10 7 - 4 +5.1 +10.6 -5.0
  Feb 11, 2016 205   @ Eastern Washington L 85-95 40%     9 - 11 7 - 5 -9.9 +1.8 -11.2
  Feb 13, 2016 217   @ Idaho L 64-65 42%     9 - 12 7 - 6 -1.5 -0.9 -0.7
  Feb 20, 2016 310   Northern Colorado W 74-73 84%     10 - 12 8 - 6 -11.9 -14.4 +2.5
  Feb 25, 2016 259   Portland St. W 80-77 74%     11 - 12 9 - 6 -6.0 -11.2 +4.7
  Feb 27, 2016 278   Sacramento St. W 97-71 78%     12 - 12 10 - 6 +15.5 +12.4 +1.0
  Mar 03, 2016 153   @ Montana L 46-71 28%     12 - 13 10 - 7 -21.3 -26.5 +5.8
  Mar 05, 2016 252   @ Montana St. L 82-89 51%     12 - 14 10 - 8 -9.6 -2.8 -6.1
  Mar 08, 2016 342   Southern Utah W 85-80 87%     13 - 14 -9.4 -2.9 -6.8
  Mar 10, 2016 276   Idaho St. W 83-49 68%     14 - 14 +26.6 +0.5 +23.4
  Mar 11, 2016 146   Weber St. L 78-83 OT 37%     14 - 15 -4.0 -0.9 -2.6
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%